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Subj: Re: The positions are pretty simple...
Posted: Fri May 31, 2019 at 10:50:28 am EDT (Viewed 54 times)
Reply Subj: Re: The positions are pretty simple...
Posted: Wed May 29, 2019 at 02:03:24 pm EDT (Viewed 78 times)
Quote:I know its a long way away (in electoral terms), but how do you see France voting at its next General Election?
To be frank, it would be easier to guess the result of a lottery game.
The current president has united the center-left & the center-right but it was only an opportunistic coalition to stop Le Pen.
I cannot see neither the far right nor the far left winning.
There is a generational turnover in all the parties.
At the same time, I have not heard one single innovative idea coming from the parties in the last 10 years ... So, most people are hopeless & jaded about the French political system.
Still, under the current circumstances, a center-right coalition uniting the centrists and 'Les Républicains' is the most likely hypothesis.
'Les Républicains' had a very bad result at the European elections. So, Wauquiez, their current head, will be removed by the caciques of the party and they will look for another head.
They will need to forge an alliance with other parties if they hope to win the next elections. They cannot ally with Le Pen because of the reputation of her party. So, instead, they will contact the centrists.
The center is renown for his fickle behaviour. Since the popularity of the current president is very low, the center-right will probably betray him and they will ally themselves with 'Les Républicains'.
In the past, this kind of alliance has often happened (for example, for the elections of Giscard, Chirac & Sarkozy).
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