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Post By
Upper_Krust

Member Since: Fri Aug 21, 2015
Posts: 337
In Reply To
Bk Ray
Moderator

Member Since: Sat May 17, 2008
Posts: 7,649
Subj: Re: I'm still musing over the results
Posted: Mon May 27, 2019 at 08:46:10 am EDT (Viewed 205 times)
Reply Subj: Re: I'm still musing over the results
Posted: Mon May 27, 2019 at 05:57:36 am EDT (Viewed 229 times)



    Quote:
    No, I don't think that's true. Labour and Tories have a very split message about the EU. I suspect that is why Laura discarded them. I think the majority of Labour are pro remain. I cant quantify that at all, hence why I removed them.
    The electorate don't even know, hence why they scored so lowly.


I agree with BK Ray here.

Its too hard to side the Labour and Tory voters with one specific faction (Leave or Remain). Its far more complicated than that.

That said I do agree the Remainers interviewed pushed the "If you add up all the parties then the Brexit party lost" rhetoric right from the start.

At a hypothetical General Election (if held right now) we could see something like:

Conservative 160
Labour 160
Lib Dem 130
Brexit Party 130
SNP 40
Green Party 10
DUP 10

In which case only Labour + LibDems + SNP and/or Greens could form a minority government.




You address Omnipotence...tread carefully.
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